Joe-Pinions: Sports

25 Sept 2010 – NFL Pick ’em, Week 3

Posted in Football (NFL) by txtmstrjoe on 25/09/2010

My picks for NFL regular season Week 3:

New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans

This should be a hard-fought, close game between two tough teams.  Tennessee has a few questions at quarterback; Vince Young looked to have turned a corner, but Jeff Fisher opted to take him out of last week’s contest against the Steelers.  Whether Young was given the hook due to ineffectiveness against the proud and stout Steelers defense or due to Coach Fisher simply wanting to keep his starting quarterback from being beaten to a pulp is debatable.  Which Vince Young will we see against the aggressive New York Giants defense?

On the other side of the ball, the Giants are also searching for some consistency on offense.  The team won its first game against the one-dimensional Carolina Panthers despite three Eli Manning interceptions, then struggled mightily against the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are average on defense at best, in my opinion, but they looked great against the Giants.  The Colts took away both the run and the pass from the Giants and won easily.

Who wins this game?  GIANTS have the home field, so they have the advantage.

Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are coming off a virtuoso performance against the New York Giants last week.  Denver is also coming off a victory at home against the Seattle Seahawks.

Both teams are 1-1, and ties in the NFL are rare, so someone’s got to win this game.

Despite being the road team, I can’t see any way the COLTS losing this game.  They have a more accomplished offense, championship-level experience and savvy, and an adequate defense.  In contrast, the Broncos are not exactly a finished product.  They are also hurting emotionally with the recent suicide death of injured reserve WR Kenny McKinley.  There’s always the possibility that the home crowd might sway things the Broncos’ way, as well as Denver’s unpredictability on defense being an asset, but it’s hard to see that being enough to beat one of the NFL’s best teams.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Diego Chargers

Seattle crashed down to earth in week 2 after handing the 49ers a beating in their first game of the season.  On the road against the Broncos, they couldn’t generate the same kind of momentum on offense that they overwhelmed the Niners with.  Not only that, but the crowd in the stadium was roaring at full throat against them.

San Diego thrashed Jacksonville at home, easing the pain of a week 1 loss against division rival Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chargers’ potent offense is still a work in progress, with rookie RB Ryan Mathews attempting to fill legend LaDainian Tomlinson’s giant cleats in the backfield.  Not only that, but they also are incomplete in the passing game with WR Vincent Jackson continuing his holdout (which will likely see him out of San Diego sooner or later).

The 49ers may have been overcome by the power of Seattle’s famous “12th Man,” but I can’t see a veteran team like the Chargers succumbing the same way.  Unless Norv Turner lays a coaching egg in this game (which he can do from time to time), the CHARGERS will win this game by at least a couple of scores.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers

The Chiefs are one of the early season’s pleasant surprises.  Kansas City is undefeated after two games, beating the Chargers who under-performed against them and leaving Cleveland as the victors in a closely-fought game.

The 49ers are 0-2, but are coming off a mostly superb home Monday Night game against the defending champion New Orleans Saints.  Their own mistakes killed their chances, but despite the turnovers the 49ers really looked great on both offense and defense against the Saints.  In Kansas City they will be fighting against not just the team in red and white, but also against the very loud and hostile home crowd cheering the Chiefs on.  After the disaster in Seattle, I think the 49ers have learned enough from the experience to avoid falling into the same kinds of problems.

I expect the 49ers to win against the over-achieving Chiefs.

NFL

After two weeks, I’m sitting on 3-5.  As the season progresses, making picks should get easier as we see more of the teams and their tendencies.  Hopefully this will translate to better scores as well.

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